Six content categories

All analysis is specific to Pakistan's equity market — KSE-100 and KMI-30 universe, PSX-listed companies, SBP monetary policy, and the structural dynamics that drive them. No generic emerging-market commentary.

The Mechanism
Weekly anchor analysis

Macro transmission pieces. How a rate decision, CPI print, or policy change travels from the event to a named sector to specific KSE-100 stocks. Published Friday or Saturday.

Example: SBP holds at 11.5% — NIM implications for commercial banks in the current PIB/T-bill environment
Market Structure
Index-level analysis

KSE-100 breadth, advance/decline data, institutional flows, forward P/E versus the 10-year average, valuation context. Market reading, not market prediction.

Example: What the FIPI/LIPI spread is signalling about domestic versus foreign positioning
Sector Deep-Dives
Full sector breakdowns

At least two named KSE-100 companies per piece, with verified financial data from filings. Revenue drivers, cost structure, regulatory risk, and relative valuation versus history and peers.

Example: E&P sector — circular debt receivables as a percentage of reported earnings, and what the FCF gap means for dividends
Institutional Flows
FIPI/LIPI analysis

Weekly and monthly NCCPL flow data, parsed by investor type and sector. Foreign versus domestic institutional positioning. Block trade detection and anomaly flagging.

Example: MF inflows of +$63.4m versus FIPI of +$1.9m — what that split means about rally ownership
Company Analysis
Single-name deep dives

Filing-sourced financials, circular debt exposure as percentage of receivables, FCF versus reported EPS divergence, capital allocation track record, and relative valuation. Minimum 1,400 words.

Example: OGDC — reading the H1 FY26 filing against the PHL settlement timeline
Educational
Evergreen explainers

One piece per month, published the first Thursday. Timeless explanations of market mechanics — how to read a PSX quarterly filing, what FIPI actually measures, how circular debt accumulates.

Example: Circular debt — how the chain forms, who holds the receivable, and what resolves or accelerates it

How we investigate markets

Mechanism, not headline Every publication explains why something happened and how it transmits to the equity market — not just what the number was.
Evidence before conclusions No analytical position is formed before the primary-source data is assembled. The evidence determines the view.
Two verifications per figure Every published number is confirmed against at least two independent, reliable sources. A figure that cannot be verified is excluded.
Named inferences When a conclusion is reasoned from evidence rather than confirmed by it, that is stated. There is no middle ground between a sourced fact and a labelled inference.
The falsifier Every thesis names the specific evidence that would prove it wrong. A view without a falsifier is not research.
SECP-compliant framing Education and analysis only. No buy/sell calls, no price targets, no personalised advice. Mechanism and falsifier — nothing beyond that.

Publication schedule

Day Output Platforms
Monday
Deep anchor — Mechanism thread X LinkedIn
Tuesday
Visual / data chart X LinkedIn
Wednesday
Market take or fresh angle X LinkedIn
Thursday
Sector zoom-in · Evergreen (1st Thursday) X LinkedIn Website*
Friday / Sat
Full weekly publication Website X LinkedIn Newsletter

* Website only on Evergreen Thursday (first Thursday of each month)

What you will find in the archive

Three types of published content, each with its own format, length standard, and publication cadence.

Type 1
Weekly Research Publication
Format

Full mechanism analysis. 600–1,200 words on the website. Three platform-specific infographics — X, LinkedIn, and website OG. Seven-beat X thread. LinkedIn post. Beehiiv newsletter digest. Published Friday or Saturday.

What to expect

All six questions answered. Primary-source data throughout. Named sector and company beneficiaries. The falsifier stated. One forward variable to watch.

Type 2
Daily Social Content
Format

Social-native. Published Monday through Thursday on X and LinkedIn. No website article unless elevated to a Type 1 piece by the strength of the analysis.

What to expect

Shorter mechanism reads. Data-first framing. Draws from or references the weekly anchor theme. Sometimes accompanies a chart or infographic.

Type 3
Evergreen Educational
Format

One piece per month on the first Thursday. Website-first, then X, LinkedIn, and newsletter. Minimum 600 words. No date dependency — must apply without a specific current event as its anchor.

What to expect

Timeless explanations of PSX market mechanics: how circular debt accumulates and resolves, what FIPI data actually measures, how to read a Pakistani quarterly filing, how to interpret forward P/E in the PSX context.

What Jamil Research is and is not

Understanding the scope prevents the most common misreading of analytical content.

Four things Jamil Research does not do

Investment advice

No piece published by Jamil Research constitutes personalised investment advice. The analysis explains mechanisms — it does not tell you what to do with your capital.

Price targets

No published piece contains a target price, a buy-below level, or a return expectation. Valuation analysis is directional and mechanism-based — not a numerical forecast.

Buy / sell calls

Watchlist items are presented as: Ticker | Why it is on the list (mechanism) | What would change the view (falsifier). Nothing beyond that, ever.

Return promises

No historical return is used to imply future performance. Market mechanisms are explained. Whether they produce a profitable outcome in your specific situation is entirely your judgment to make.

Four things Jamil Research does

The value of a research publication is the quality of its analytical process, not its conclusions.

Explain transmission

Every major macro event is traced from its cause through the economy to specific PSX sectors and named KSE-100 companies. The full chain, not just the headline move.

Verify every figure

No number is published without a Tier 1 source. No number is published from a single source. If verification cannot be completed, the figure is excluded.

Name the falsifier

Every analytical thesis names the specific, measurable evidence that would prove it wrong — and the leading indicator to watch. Credible analysis is falsifiable analysis.

Build a reference archive

The publication is designed to be useful after the trading session — as a reference for understanding PSX mechanics, sector dynamics, and market structure over time.

Three ways to stay current

Each channel delivers a different slice of the research. The newsletter synthesises the week; the website holds the full archive; social publishes the daily mechanism reads.

Terms used frequently in the research

A working vocabulary for readers new to PSX equity research. Each term is used with its precise meaning — no informal shorthand.

FIPI

Foreign Institutional Portfolio Investment. Net USD flows from foreign institutional investors in Pakistan's equity market. Reported weekly by NCCPL.

LIPI

Local Institutional Portfolio Investment. Net flows from domestic institutional investors — mutual funds, insurance companies, banks — in Pakistan's equity market.

NCCPL

National Clearing Company of Pakistan Limited. The central clearing house for the PSX, and the primary source for institutional flow data.

KSE-100

The benchmark index of the Pakistan Stock Exchange, comprising the 100 largest companies by market capitalisation. The primary reference index for PSX analysis.

KMI-30

The KSE Meezan Index — the 30 largest Shariah-compliant stocks on the PSX. A separate index tracking the Shariah-compliant universe.

NIM

Net Interest Margin. The spread between a bank's yield on earning assets (PIBs, T-bills, advances) and its cost of funds (deposits). The primary earnings driver for PSX banks.

CASA Ratio

Current Account + Savings Account deposits as a percentage of total deposits. A higher CASA ratio lowers a bank's cost of funds and supports NIM.

Circular Debt

The accumulation of unpaid inter-company receivables in Pakistan's energy chain. E&P companies, OMCs, power producers, and refineries are all exposed. Reported as overdue receivables in quarterly filings.

FCF Yield

Free Cash Flow divided by market capitalisation. Critical for E&P and OMC analysis, where reported net profit frequently diverges from actual cash generation due to circular debt overdue.

PSDP

Public Sector Development Programme. The government's annual infrastructure and development spending allocation. A key demand driver for the cement sector.

SBP

State Bank of Pakistan. Pakistan's central bank. Sets the policy rate — the primary driver of NIM, PIB yields, and sector cost of debt across the PSX.

Forward P/E

Price divided by next 12 months' consensus earnings estimate. The primary valuation benchmark for the KSE-100. The 10-year average for the KSE-100 is approximately 8.0×.

Mechanism

The causal chain from a triggering event to its market impact. Jamil Research uses this term specifically — the full transmission from event to economy to sector to company to earnings to valuation.

Falsifier

The specific, measurable evidence that would prove an analytical thesis wrong. Named explicitly in every piece. A thesis without a falsifier is advocacy, not research.

Re-rating

A market-driven reassessment of a sector's or company's valuation multiple — upward or downward — in response to a structural change in earnings quality, risk, or macro environment.

One email, every Saturday.
The week's mechanism, explained.

Four sections: market summary, The Mechanism (~300 words), sector data, and the watchlist. Primary sources throughout. Free.

Education & analysis, not investment advice. Unsubscribe any time.

Education & analysis, not investment advice. — Jamil Research · jamilresearch.com